Spiritual Politics blog
State by State
Leonard E. Greenberg Center
Democratic primary exit poll
Republican primary exit poll
Republican Primary Results
Democratic Primary Results
* Democratic delegates not counted.
Not only did the “premature”
Democratic primary not include Obama or Edwards but there were no religion
questions on the exit poll.
On the attendance scale, Huckabee
came out on top with 37 percent of the More-than-weeklies, with Romney
picking up all other categories (with numbers around 40 percent) and McCain
winning the Nevers at 39 percent. Romney beat out Huckabee among the
evangelicals 34 percent to 29 percent, and McCain among the non-evangelicals
39 percent to 34 percent. Protestants (including Other Christians) and
Catholics preferred Romney equally, at 38 percent. The Nones, at just five
percent of the GOP vote, went for McCain with 37 percent.
01 13 08
Catholic anti-Huck Mark Silk
And speaking of guilt by association, here's an
email obtained by the Atlantic's Marc Ambinder, apparently circulating
among Michigan Republicans, tarring Huckabee with being anti-Catholic.
01 16 08 Anti-Mormon?
The take-away from Michigan so far as religion is concerned is that more
born-again white Protestants--as good a screen for evangelicals as you could
want--voted for Romney than for Huckabee, according to the
exit poll. How does this square with the finding in the recent
ABC/Washington Post national
poll that Romney's Mormonism really really dampens evangelicals'
enthusiasm for voting for him. (Specifically, the differential among those
evangelicals more and less enthusiastic by the prospect of the first Mormon
president was minus 39 points.) The point is that just because some
characteristic of a candidate makes you less enthusiastic doesn't mean you
won't vote for him. Take McCain's age; maybe in China it would have enhanced
enthusiasm levels, but not in the U.S. In any event, Romney's ability to
more than hold his own among evangelicals, at least in a state where he's
sort of known and that's suffering economically, should be of some comfort
to him. Meanwhile, Huck's inability to break out of the box of
super-frequent churchgoing born-agains in Northern places like NH and
Michigan must be giving his folks serious heartburn.